Publications

front cover of nh primary brief showing Carsey logo, title, key findings, pie chart, and text
January 17, 2024
In this brief, authors Kenneth Johnson, Andrew Smith, and Dante Scala note a greater likelihood of volatility in the New Hampshire primary because there will be many new faces among the voters who flock to the polls on January 23.
front page of pdf version of brief including text and figure
December 20, 2023
In this brief, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that population gains were widespread in New England last year, according to new Census Bureau estimates.
front page of pdf document showing publication title, key findings, text, and figure
December 11, 2023
In this brief, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that, in 2022, there were 4.7 million more childless women of prime child-bearing age in the United States than would have been expected given fertility patterns prior to the Great Recession, up from 2.1 million in 2016.
cover of pdf version of brief showing masthead, title, key findings, and text
November 16, 2023
In this brief, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that nonmetropolitan (rural) America gained population between April of 2020 and July of 2022. In the preceding decade, rural areas lost population, both because more people left rural areas than moved to them and because births just minimally exceeded deaths.
cover of carsey brief
October 30, 2023
New Hampshire’s demographic future depends heavily on migration. The state’s population continued to grow in 2021 and 2022 because a migration gain of 18,300 was enough to offset the excess of deaths over births.
image of front page of printed version of data snapshot showing title, text, image of map
June 27, 2023
In this data snapshot, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that with Covid-induced mortality at record highs and continuing low fertility during the past three years, U.S. births exceeded deaths by the smallest margin in more than a century.
image of print version of data snapshot with text and figure
June 5, 2023
In this data snapshot, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that recent National Center for Health Statistics birth data indicate there were only 3,661,000 births in 2022, compared to 3,664,000 in 2021, and just 3,614,000 in 2020. These three birth cohorts are the smallest in 40 years and continue a birth decline that began in the era of the Great Recession.
cover of retaining new hampshire residents brief
May 11, 2023
In this brief, authors Kristine Bundschuh and Kenneth Johnson discuss the results of NH Granite State Polls conducted from 2010–2012 and 2018–2019 that asked a representative sample of over 3,300 established residents to share, in their own words, their top three reasons for staying in New Hampshire rather than moving to another state.
image of print version of data snapshot
April 6, 2023
In this data snapshot, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that the population of New Hampshire grew by 17,700 to 1,395,000 between April 2020, when the 2020 Census was conducted, and July 2022, according to new Census Bureau estimates. These population gains were widespread, occurring in each of the state’s ten counties despite deaths exceeding births in nine of the ten counties.
image of first page of brief
March 31, 2023
In this brief, Senior Demographer Kenneth Johnson reports that, according to recent Census Bureau estimates, the U.S. population has grown at the slowest rate in history in the past two years due to the impact of Covid.